The following appeared in a letter to the editor of the Balmer Island Gazette.
"On Balmer Island, where mopeds serve as a popular form of transportation, the population increases to 100,000 during the summer months. To reduce the number of accidents involving mopeds and pedestrians, the town council of Balmer Island should limit the number of mopeds rented by the island's moped rental companies from 50 per day to 25 per day during the summer season. By limiting the number of rentals, the town council will attain the 50 percent annual reduction in moped accidents that was achieved last year on the neighboring island of Seaville, when Seaville's town council enforced similar limits on moped rentals."
Write a response in which you discuss what questions would need to be answered in order to decide whether the recommendation is likely to have the predicted result. Be sure to explain how the answers to these questions would help to evaluate the recommendation.
Response:
In the letter to the editor of the Balmer Island Gazette, the author is optimistic about the implementation of reduction of rental mopeds in the Balmer Island, that may lead to less mopeds accidents, as enforcement of similar limits on rental mopeds in Seaville Island led to 50% reduction in mopeds accidents. To derive the ultimate conclusion, author should answer more precise and relevant questions regarding the Balmer and Seaville Islands.
Author did not mention the numbers by which population increases in summer. The affect of increase in population to the regular commuters should also be mentioned. It may be possible that the increase in population accounts to very less increase in the daily commuters. So, reduction in rental mopeds may have no effect in the number of accidents.
There is no statistics mentioned about the population of the Seaville and the increase of population in summer months. It cannot be inferred from the letter that the conditions in Seaville Islands is similar to that of Balmer Islands. It might be possible that the total number of mopeds in the Seaville Island is much more than the total number of mopeds in Balmer Island. This may be the reason of reduction in mopeds accidents when number of rental mopeds is decreased.
There is also a possibility that the majority of the mopeds are rentals mopeds in Seaville Islands whereas in Balmer Islands majority of mopeds are privately owned, so reduction in number of daily rental mopeds may have no or scarce affect on the mopeds accident. The strictness of traffic system and the condition of roads can also affect the number of accidents. Balmer Island may have lax traffic rules and bad road conditions which can be the major reason for large number of accidents.
Letter fails to state any reason for the increase in population during summer season. The reason of rise in population can be tourism, fishing or migration of people due to natural conditions. Each cause of population increase will have different impact in the number of moped users on road during summers, and thus on number of mopeds accidents.
To summarize, the letter fails to cover precise and accurate facts that can clearly insinuate that decrease in rental mopeds will have direct impact on the number of accidents. To strength the argument, author should mention juxtapositional facts about both the islands concerning traffic system, condition of roads, number of commuters and other related issues.
"On Balmer Island, where mopeds serve as a popular form of transportation, the population increases to 100,000 during the summer months. To reduce the number of accidents involving mopeds and pedestrians, the town council of Balmer Island should limit the number of mopeds rented by the island's moped rental companies from 50 per day to 25 per day during the summer season. By limiting the number of rentals, the town council will attain the 50 percent annual reduction in moped accidents that was achieved last year on the neighboring island of Seaville, when Seaville's town council enforced similar limits on moped rentals."
Write a response in which you discuss what questions would need to be answered in order to decide whether the recommendation is likely to have the predicted result. Be sure to explain how the answers to these questions would help to evaluate the recommendation.
Response:
In the letter to the editor of the Balmer Island Gazette, the author is optimistic about the implementation of reduction of rental mopeds in the Balmer Island, that may lead to less mopeds accidents, as enforcement of similar limits on rental mopeds in Seaville Island led to 50% reduction in mopeds accidents. To derive the ultimate conclusion, author should answer more precise and relevant questions regarding the Balmer and Seaville Islands.
Author did not mention the numbers by which population increases in summer. The affect of increase in population to the regular commuters should also be mentioned. It may be possible that the increase in population accounts to very less increase in the daily commuters. So, reduction in rental mopeds may have no effect in the number of accidents.
There is no statistics mentioned about the population of the Seaville and the increase of population in summer months. It cannot be inferred from the letter that the conditions in Seaville Islands is similar to that of Balmer Islands. It might be possible that the total number of mopeds in the Seaville Island is much more than the total number of mopeds in Balmer Island. This may be the reason of reduction in mopeds accidents when number of rental mopeds is decreased.
There is also a possibility that the majority of the mopeds are rentals mopeds in Seaville Islands whereas in Balmer Islands majority of mopeds are privately owned, so reduction in number of daily rental mopeds may have no or scarce affect on the mopeds accident. The strictness of traffic system and the condition of roads can also affect the number of accidents. Balmer Island may have lax traffic rules and bad road conditions which can be the major reason for large number of accidents.
Letter fails to state any reason for the increase in population during summer season. The reason of rise in population can be tourism, fishing or migration of people due to natural conditions. Each cause of population increase will have different impact in the number of moped users on road during summers, and thus on number of mopeds accidents.
To summarize, the letter fails to cover precise and accurate facts that can clearly insinuate that decrease in rental mopeds will have direct impact on the number of accidents. To strength the argument, author should mention juxtapositional facts about both the islands concerning traffic system, condition of roads, number of commuters and other related issues.
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